Gold difference by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team ahead)
10:0020:00
zxcursed Team won despite dropping to 30% at 4:00.
Game win probability by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team favoured). Estimated from gold lead and game time, built on 772 past games (76,4% correct on games not used to build it).
zxcursed Team
Who got there first
ALOHADANCE Team
First blood
1:50
8:54
First to 5 kills
13:43
First to 10 kills
10:41
First tower
19:17
First Roshan
Game events
1:50ALOHADANCE Team drew first blood
10:41zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T1)
12:14zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T1)
13:57zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T1)
16:42zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T2)
19:17zxcursed Team killed Roshan
20:22zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T2)
23:05zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T2)
25:32zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T3)
26:20zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (bot)
26:33zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (bot)
27:09zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T3)
Per-game data from Valve's match API, via OpenDota
Gold difference by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team ahead)
10:0020:0030:0040:0050:00
ALOHADANCE Team won despite dropping to 8% at 22:00.
Game win probability by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team favoured). Estimated from gold lead and game time, built on 772 past games (76,4% correct on games not used to build it).
zxcursed Team
Who got there first
ALOHADANCE Team
0:06
First blood
9:28
First to 5 kills
19:54
First to 10 kills
11:16
First tower
First Roshan
28:40
Game events
0:06zxcursed Team drew first blood
11:16zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T1)
14:40zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T1)
14:56ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T1)
21:22zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T1)
26:21ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (top T1)
28:40ALOHADANCE Team killed Roshan
30:29ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (bot T1)
34:45ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T2)
34:51ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (top T2)
35:17ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (bot T2)
39:05zxcursed Team killed Roshan
39:32zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T2)
43:12zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T2)
45:05ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T3)
45:10ALOHADANCE Team destroyed barracks (mid)
45:13ALOHADANCE Team destroyed barracks (mid)
47:22zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T2)
48:35zxcursed Team killed Roshan
50:13zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T3)
50:18zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (mid)
50:30zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (mid)
52:34zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T3)
52:37zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (bot)
Per-game data from Valve's match API, via OpenDota
Gold difference by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team ahead)
10:0020:0030:0040:00
Game win probability by minute (above the line: zxcursed Team favoured). Estimated from gold lead and game time, built on 772 past games (76,4% correct on games not used to build it).
zxcursed Team
Who got there first
ALOHADANCE Team
First blood
1:05
5:11
First to 5 kills
First to 10 kills
14:36
First tower
10:34
19:53
First Roshan
Game events
1:05ALOHADANCE Team drew first blood
10:34ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T1)
11:26zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (bot T1)
11:44ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (top T1)
19:53zxcursed Team killed Roshan
24:03ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (top T2)
24:08zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T1)
24:57ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T2)
28:03ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (bot T1)
28:19zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T1)
31:22ALOHADANCE Team killed Roshan
37:26ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (mid T3)
37:33ALOHADANCE Team destroyed barracks (mid)
37:37ALOHADANCE Team destroyed barracks (mid)
41:09zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T2)
41:38zxcursed Team killed Roshan
43:30zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (top T2)
44:26zxcursed Team destroyed a tower (mid T3)
46:03ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (bot T2)
47:37zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (mid)
47:41zxcursed Team destroyed barracks (mid)
47:58ALOHADANCE Team destroyed a tower (bot T3)
Per-game data from Valve's match API, via OpenDota
zxcursed Team vs ALOHADANCE Team prediction
Quick take
Elozxcursed Team 1300, ALOHADANCE Team 1318: a 18-point gap.
Head-to-headHead-to-head: no meetings yet
VerdictBefore the match the Elo model favoured zxcursed Team with a 50% win probability, but ALOHADANCE Team won instead: the prediction was wrong.
2113/0/920.2kshigetsu
196/0/1416.4k⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤
164/3/1713.9ksv_cheats 1
145/1/148.7kЧЕЛ ТЫ УМЕР ОТ 2К ПТС((
143/1/148.4k☆
152/8/212.0kспортик
162/3/011.6kCantfixthat.
151/7/210.3kMiles Teg
120/6/35.9kearthq
90/7/34.0kgood_mma
265/0/348.9kshigetsu
299/7/1136.7k⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤
263/8/921.5ksv_cheats 1
3022/2/1344.8kспортик
287/1/2133.5kCantfixthat.
251/7/2021.4kgood_mma
256/10/2219.1kearthq
2810/6/1031.7kshigetsu
268/8/1226.0k⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤⃟⃝⃤
2610/9/1220.5ksv_cheats 1
205/11/1212.4kЧЕЛ ТЫ УМЕР ОТ 2К ПТС((
2815/3/2238.4kспортик
2613/10/1727.3kMiles Teg
254/10/3116.3kearthq
235/10/2415.9kgood_mma
won27:34Game 2
won54:50Game 3