MLBB week 38/2026
Week 38/2026 recap (14.09.26 – 20.09.26): 38 MLBB matches had an Elo-based prediction, 26 of them correct, a 68.4% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 37/2026 (70.3%), accuracy is down 1.9 percentage points.
Biggest upsets of week 38/2026
- Tenacity was predicted to win with 82.9% but lost 1–2 to Hydra Esports at MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026.
- ONIC was predicted to win with 72.6% but lost 0–2 to Geek Fam ID at MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026.
- Alter Ego was predicted to win with 67.2% but lost 0–2 to Dewa United Esports at MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026.
Week 38/2026 breakdown
By confidence
Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.
By tournament
All week 38/2026 predictions
Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Aurevia TeamvsCyber Hero0 – 267.1%Correct
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Team YandexvsRakuzan1 – 263.4%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026Leon EsportsvsBacon Time0 – 276.3%Correct
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Team SpiritvsLevel UP0 – 295.9%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Team Liquid IDvsEVOS2 – 164.1%Wrong
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026Team Liquid PHvsOmega Esports2 – 067.7%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026TenacityvsHydra Esports2 – 182.9%Wrong
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026OmnixvsRune Eaters Esports1 – 252.6%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Bigetron by VitalityvsONIC0 – 250.6%Wrong
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026King of Gamers ClubvseArena0 – 288.9%Correct
- MPL Malaysia Season 18 2026Selangor Red GiantsvsTeam Rey1 – 262.1%Wrong
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026ONIC PHvsAP.Bren1 – 270.9%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Alter EgovsDewa United Esports0 – 267.2%Wrong
- MPL Malaysia Season 18 2026Invictus GamingvsBigetron MY by VIT2 – 155%Wrong
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026RakuzanvsAurevia Team2 – 158.2%Wrong
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Rune Eaters EsportsvsCyber Hero2 – 163.3%Wrong
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026Leon EsportsvsBuriram United Esports0 – 277.5%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Bigetron by VitalityvsTeam Liquid ID0 – 252.5%Wrong
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Team YandexvsLevel UP0 – 273%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026King of Gamers ClubvsFull Sense2 – 091.5%Correct
- MPL Malaysia Season 18 2026Selangor Red GiantsvsAC Esports0 – 278.6%Correct
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026Team Liquid PHvsAurora Gaming PH2 – 061.8%Wrong
- MLBB Continental Championships Season 8 2026Team SpiritvsOmnix2 – 092.6%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Alter EgovsRRQ Hoshi1 – 272.6%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026TenacityvsValee Thai Esports1 – 273.7%Correct
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026Team Falcons PHvsTwisted Minds PH2 – 073.4%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Natus VincerevsGeek Fam ID0 – 263.8%Correct
- MPL Malaysia Season 18 2026Team VamosvsBigetron MY by VIT2 – 054.3%Correct
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026TNC Pro TeamvsAP.Bren0 – 257.7%Wrong
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026Bacon TimevsSOLYX2 – 067.3%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026Dewa United EsportsvsRRQ Hoshi1 – 254.7%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026Buriram United EsportsvseArena2 – 056.8%Correct
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026Aurora Gaming PHvsOmega Esports0 – 254.9%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026EVOSvsDewa United Esports0 – 252.4%Correct
- MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026Valee Thai EsportsvsFull Sense1 – 252.5%Correct
- MPL Philippines Season 18 2026Team Liquid PHvsTNC Pro Team2 – 171.7%Correct
- MPL Malaysia Season 18 2026Team ReyvsTeam Flash2 – 161.3%Correct
- MPL Indonesia Season 18 2026ONICvsGeek Fam ID0 – 272.6%Wrong
Week 38/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the MLBB predictions in week 38/2026?
Week 38/2026 (14.09.26 – 20.09.26) had 38 matches predicted with Elo, 26 of them correct (68.4%). Compared with week 37/2026 (70.3%), accuracy is down 1.9 percentage points.
What was the biggest upset of week 38/2026?
Tenacity was predicted to win with 82.9% but lost 1–2 to Hydra Esports at MLBB Super League Thailand Season 2 2026.
How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?
This week the model was right in 16 of 19 picks made at 65% or higher (84%).
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.