MLBB week 40/2026
Week 40/2026 recap (28.09.26 – 04.10.26): 10 MLBB matches had an Elo-based prediction, 7 of them correct, a 70% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 39/2026 (60%), accuracy is up 10 percentage points.
Week 40/2026 breakdown
By confidence
Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.
By tournament
All week 40/2026 predictions
- Asian Games 2026PhilippinesvsKazakhstan2 – 073.6%Correct
- Asian Games 2026Team JordanvsKazakhstan2 – 150%Correct
- Asian Games 2026PhilippinesvsTeam Jordan2 – 050%Correct
- Asian Games 2026CambodiavsMongolia0 – 250%Wrong
- Asian Games 2026MyanmarvsHong Kong2 – 050%Correct
- Asian Games 2026IndonesiavsSaudi Arabia2 – 050%Correct
- Asian Games 2026UzbekistanvsHong Kong1 – 256.4%Wrong
- Asian Games 2026MalaysiavsSaudi Arabia2 – 156.4%Correct
- Asian Games 2026MyanmarvsUzbekistan2 – 060.4%Correct
- Asian Games 2026IndonesiavsMalaysia0 – 256.4%Wrong
Week 40/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the MLBB predictions in week 40/2026?
Week 40/2026 (28.09.26 – 04.10.26) had 10 matches predicted with Elo, 7 of them correct (70%). Compared with week 39/2026 (60%), accuracy is up 10 percentage points.
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.