LoL 2026 第 30 週
2026 第 30 週回顧（20.07.26 – 26.07.26）：共 127 場 LoL 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 79 場正確，命中率 62.2%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 29 週（67.8%）相比，準確率下降 5.6 個百分點。
命中率62.2%
正確79/127
爆冷3
日期20.07.26 – 26.07.26
2026 第 30 週最大爆冷
2026 第 30 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 30 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- LCS Summer 2026DisguisedvsShopify Rebellion2 – 050%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026Cloud9vsTeam Liquid2 – 052.5%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd StarsvsRED Canids1 – 252.5%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Karmine CorpvsG2 Esports1 – 262.4%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Leviatan EsportsvsFluxo W7M2 – 052.2%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsTeam Vitality1 – 250.4%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Lille EsportvsCaldya Esport0 – 150.1%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Karmine Corp Blue StarsvsCrystal Rose0 – 154.7%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsAnyone's Legend1 – 255.1%正確
- LCP Split 3 2026Deep Cross GamingvsCTBC Flying Oyster2 – 051.8%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Project ConquerorsvsZephyr Esport0 – 158.7%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026ThunderTalk GamingvsEDward Gaming2 – 050.1%正確
- LCP Split 3 2026GAM EsportsvsDetonatioN FocusMe0 – 291.2%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026LNG EsportsvsNinjas in Pyjamas0 – 250%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026DignitasvsSentinels1 – 252.5%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026FlyQuestvsLYON0 – 266.3%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOUDvspaiN Gaming2 – 152.6%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026FURIA EsportsvsLOS0 – 250.8%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsKarmine Corp2 – 052.6%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026G2 EsportsvsTeam Vitality0 – 251.6%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Team High GroundvsCrystal Rose1 – 050.1%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsThunderTalk Gaming2 – 156.2%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Galions SharksvsCaldya Esport0 – 156.9%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Project ConquerorsvsLausanne-Sport Esports1 – 054.4%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Ancient OnesvsLille Esport1 – 056.6%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Invictus GamingvsWeibo Gaming2 – 156.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026LGD GamingvsTeam WE0 – 268.2%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026Aeterna EsportsvsEKO Esports0 – 154.4%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026HMBLEvsZena Esports0 – 159%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Karmine CorpvsTeam Vitality0 – 261.5%正確
- LIT Summer 2026TITANSvsColossal Gaming0 – 152.2%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026GMBLERS ESPORTSvsP11 Esports0 – 156.9%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsG2 Esports2 – 155.4%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsEDward Gaming1 – 260.3%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsTeam WE2 – 180.2%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsLGD Gaming2 – 050.2%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026ConvictionvsWinthrop University0 – 250%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026Role SwappersvsWhite Dragons0 – 150%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Cupid EsportsvsBlue Otter1 – 252.3%正確
- LIT Summer 2026Colossal GamingvsHMBLE0 – 150.1%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026Tung Tung BogivsHyperion0 – 150%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsZYB Esport1 – 059.6%正確
- LIT Summer 2026TITANSvsGMBLERS ESPORTS1 – 052.4%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026DisruptorsvsPyramid IV Esports2 – 159.1%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026Capybara EsportsvsEXSAD Gaming1 – 050%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Vitality.BeevsGalions0 – 151.3%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026ZennITvsThe Bandits2 – 054.1%錯誤
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026ROSSMANN CentaursvsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS2 – 150.9%正確
- LIT Summer 2026Aeterna EsportsvsZena Esports1 – 054.7%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Myth EsportsvsDynasty2 – 154.6%正確
- LES Summer 2026Team Heretics AcademyvsGIANTX iTero0 – 254.4%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsEsprit Shōnen1 – 054.5%正確
- LIT Summer 2026EKO EsportsvsP11 Esports1 – 050%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026JSK EsportsvsBaam Esports0 – 250.2%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026BIGvsEintracht Frankfurt1 – 260.1%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsLUA Gaming2 – 054.5%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsThunderTalk Gaming2 – 156.1%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsAnyone's Legend1 – 255.4%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming AcademyvsRED Academy0 – 154.4%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026University of MississippivsContingent Esports1 – 252.3%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Ei Nerd Esportsvs7REX0 – 158.9%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyvsRMD Gaming0 – 158.9%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026BublikivsNORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS0 – 150%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvsTeam Solid1 – 054.4%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026CCG EsportsvsNRG Esports2 – 052.3%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026FrancesinhasvsWay Gaming Esports1 – 050%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsEsprit Shōnen1 – 056.8%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-SportsvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas0 – 158.7%正確
- LIT Summer 2026P11 EsportsvsAeterna Esports0 – 150%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsJoblife0 – 160.3%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026Anubis Gamingvs3BL Esports0 – 256.3%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Deer Gamingvs2 Massive2 – 050%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Dream EsportsvsDominion Goblins0 – 150%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Ici Japon Corp. EsportvsGalions1 – 051.4%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026TITANSvsEKO Esports1 – 050%正確
- NLC Summer 2026LEOvsVolda E-Sport1 – 250%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026GMBLERS ESPORTSvsHMBLE1 – 052.3%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsZYB Esport0 – 150.2%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionvsKaufland Hangry Knights0 – 259.1%正確
- LES Summer 2026UCAM Esports ClubvsBarça eSports0 – 259%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Ruddy CorporationvsRich Gang2 – 050%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026GnG AmazighvsOne More Esports0 – 254.7%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026Zena EsportsvsColossal Gaming0 – 152.3%錯誤
- LES Summer 2026UB Alma MatervsFALKE Esports2 – 059.8%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026G2 NORDvsTeamOrangeGaming0 – 262.7%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsTeam WE2 – 072.4%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026LGD GamingvsEDward Gaming2 – 050%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd Stars Academyvs7REX1 – 054.6%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Team SolidvsEi Nerd Esports0 – 150%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas0 – 154.6%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming AcademyvsRMD Gaming1 – 050%正確
- LRS Split 2 2026Golden LionsvsVolticons3 – 154.5%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsSkillcamp Esport1 – 055.9%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-SportsvsRED Academy1 – 054.6%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026Baam EsportsvsPyramid IV Esports0 – 250.1%正確
- LFL Summer 2026JoblifevsGalions1 – 053.9%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Frites Esports ClubvsSenshi Esports2 – 061.9%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsZYB Esport1 – 052.3%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026BIGvsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS1 – 256.1%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026mCon esportsvsOnce Upon A Team2 – 054.6%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Vitality.BeevsEsprit Shōnen1 – 050%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsGIANTX iTero0 – 252.3%正確
- Arabian League Summer 20263BL EsportsvsOne More Esports1 – 250.1%正確
- HLL Summer 2026ValerionvsSpartans EU0 – 254.7%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Eintracht SpandauvsEintracht Frankfurt0 – 262.6%正確
- HLL Summer 2026ALMO PlayersvsZerolag Esports2 – 050%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsDN SOOPers0 – 160.8%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026T1vsKiwoom DRX1 – 053.9%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Dplus KIAvsKT Rolster1 – 059.3%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Gen.GvsT10 – 153.4%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Dplus KIAvsBNK FEARX1 – 059.7%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvspaiN Gaming Academy1 – 050%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Team SolidvsRMD Gaming1 – 050%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026RED AcademyvsEi Nerd Esports0 – 150%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-Sportsvs7REX1 – 050%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas1 – 050%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Lundqvist LightsidevsB2U2 – 050%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Arctic PandasvsSørby eSport2 – 050%正確
- NLC Summer 2026AbsolvedvsVerdant2 – 052.1%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Kiwoom DRXvsKT Rolster1 – 050.3%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026HANJIN BRIONvsKiwoom DRX1 – 054.5%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026DN SOOPersvsKT Rolster0 – 152.4%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Kiwoom DRXvsBNK FEARX0 – 152.6%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026DN SOOPersvsHANJIN BRION0 – 152.6%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Nongshim Red ForcevsKT Rolster1 – 050%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026DN SOOPersvsBNK FEARX1 – 050.3%正確
- LRN Split 2 2026Zeu5 EsportsvsLYON Academy1 – 264.2%正確
2026 第 30 週常見問題
2026 第 30 週的 LoL 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 30 週（20.07.26 – 26.07.26）共有 127 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 79 場正確（62.2%）。 與 2026 第 29 週（67.8%）相比，準確率下降 5.6 個百分點。
2026 第 30 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
JD Gaming 原本被預測以 80.2% 勝率獲勝，卻在 LPL Split 3 2026 以 1–2 敗給 Team WE。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 5 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 2 場（40%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。