LoL 2026 第 33 週
2026 第 33 週回顧（10.08.26 – 16.08.26）：共 112 場 LoL 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 78 場正確，命中率 69.6%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 32 週（61.8%）相比，準確率上升 7.8 個百分點。
命中率69.6%
正確78/112
爆冷2
日期10.08.26 – 16.08.26
2026 第 33 週最大爆冷
2026 第 33 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 33 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- LCS Summer 2026LYONvsSentinels1 – 252.1%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026Cloud9vsFlyQuest0 – 253.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026paiN GamingvsFluxo W7M2 – 052%正確
- LEC Summer 2026G2 EsportsvsFnatic0 – 262.1%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOUDvsLeviatan Esports2 – 056.2%正確
- Equal eSports Cup 2026Vitality Rising BeesvsG2 HEL0 – 354.4%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsNatus Vincere2 – 054.7%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsEDward Gaming2 – 051.8%正確
- LCK 2026Kiwoom DRXvsHANJIN BRION1 – 255.2%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Invictus GamingvsWeibo Gaming1 – 250.9%正確
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsT10 – 251.5%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsLGD Gaming2 – 162.6%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026T1 AcademyvsDN SOOPers Challengers2 – 163.7%正確
- LCS Summer 2026Shopify RebellionvsDignitas2 – 156.4%正確
- LCS Summer 2026Team LiquidvsDisguised0 – 266.9%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOSvsVivo Keyd Stars0 – 254.5%正確
- LEC Summer 2026G2 EsportsvsShifters2 – 066%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026FURIA EsportsvsRED Canids2 – 155.6%正確
- LEC Summer 2026SK GamingvsFnatic0 – 253.8%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsTeam WE2 – 059%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Karmine Corp Blue StarsvsCaldya Esport0 – 161.2%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Team High GroundvsLille Esport0 – 155.6%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Project ConquerorsvsAncient Ones1 – 057.3%正確
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsBNK FEARX0 – 251.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsThunderTalk Gaming1 – 267%正確
- LCK 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsKT Rolster2 – 155.5%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Ninjas in PyjamasvsLNG Esports2 – 166.3%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026CCG EsportsvsContingent Esports1 – 250.3%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026ConvictionvsBlue Otter2 – 154.2%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Team VitalityvsGIANTX1 – 250.7%正確
- LEC Summer 2026SK GamingvsShifters0 – 252.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsAnyone's Legend2 – 167.8%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsTeam WE2 – 068.3%錯誤
- LCK 2026T1vsDplus KIA1 – 252.9%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026LGD GamingvsEDward Gaming0 – 257.3%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Dplus KIA ChallengersvsT1 Academy0 – 253.9%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026NRG EsportsvsContingent Esports2 – 059.9%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Dorado GamingvsUniversity of Mississippi1 – 253.8%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Role SwappersvsZeroZone Gaming2 – 050.1%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Maryville UniversityvsWinthrop University1 – 252.6%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTSvsThe Otter Side2 – 152%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Vitality.BeevsSolary2 – 151.1%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026ZennITvsMyth Esports2 – 154.6%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026The BanditsvsOnce Upon A Team2 – 063.1%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsTeam Heretics Academy1 – 252.3%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026EXILE esportsvsMeavedron2 – 052.1%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsKarmine Corp Blue0 – 252.6%錯誤
- LES Summer 2026GIANTX iTerovsFALKE Esports0 – 261.2%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSvsROSSMANN Centaurs1 – 251.6%錯誤
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026NightBirdsvseSuba2 – 057.6%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsThunderTalk Gaming0 – 267.1%正確
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsHanwha Life Esports2 – 052%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsLGD Gaming0 – 255.8%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026Deep Cross GamingvsGAM Esports1 – 353.5%錯誤
- LCK 2026BNK FEARXvsKiwoom DRX1 – 255%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Ninjas in PyjamasvsWeibo Gaming1 – 258.7%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026KT Rolster ChallengersvsNongshim Esports Academy2 – 055.3%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsGen.G Global Academy0 – 258.3%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026ConvictionvsCCG Esports0 – 251%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026BublikivsDominion Goblins0 – 250.2%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Cupid EsportsvsUniversity of Mississippi0 – 254%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Team SolidvsRMD Gaming0 – 350.3%錯誤
- NLC Summer 2026LEOvsEpic Avalanche2 – 052.1%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026ROSSMANN CentaursvsEintracht Frankfurt0 – 263.4%正確
- NLC Summer 2026DMG EsportsvsAbsolved2 – 052.2%正確
- EBL Summer 2026MAGAZAvsHooligans0 – 260.7%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Capybara EsportsvsDream Esports2 – 152.3%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026GalionsvsJoblife2 – 051.4%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026DOCISKvsUP2UMEDIA Cebulaki0 – 250.1%正確
- LES Summer 2026UCAM Esports ClubvsLUA Gaming2 – 063.9%正確
- TCL Summer 2026Dark PassagevsBushido Wildcats2 – 150.1%錯誤
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026CITA KaizenvsMeavedron0 – 255.6%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026JSK EsportsvsDisruptors1 – 253.9%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Ici Japon Corp. EsportvsTLN Pirates0 – 250.1%錯誤
- EBL Summer 2026The Secret ClubvsSPIKE Syndicate0 – 256.4%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Volda E-SportvsRich Gang2 – 054.6%正確
- LES Summer 2026Barça eSportsvsUB Alma Mater2 – 056%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Eintracht SpandauvsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS1 – 257.3%錯誤
- Rift Legends Summer 2026Anonymo EsportsvsBOMBA Team2 – 054.9%錯誤
- TCL Summer 2026SU EsportsvsShark Attack0 – 251.5%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026Onion TeamvseSuba0 – 258.2%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsBilibili Gaming1 – 268.5%正確
- LCK 2026Dplus KIAvsKT Rolster0 – 255.9%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsEDward Gaming1 – 270.9%正確
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsNongshim Red Force2 – 150.3%正確
- LRN Split 2 2026Kits EsportsvsSDM Tigres3 – 253%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026RMD GamingvsRED Academy2 – 053.4%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 20267REXvsTeam Solid0 – 252.9%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026ForsakenvsLodis1 – 250.6%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026DynastyvsSenshi Esports1 – 255.3%錯誤
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026TeamOrangeGamingvsVfB eSports2 – 057.7%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026Baam EsportsvsGnG Amazigh2 – 053.8%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Frites Esports ClubvsmCon esports2 – 059.3%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026BRUTEvsBohemian Guardians2 – 150%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026Pyramid IV Esportsvs3BL Esports2 – 054.7%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026devils.one inStreamlyvsBarcząca Esports1 – 254.5%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026G2 NORDvsKaufland Hangry Knights1 – 263.3%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026NightBirdsvsOnion Team2 – 060%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Dplus KIA ChallengersvsNongshim Esports Academy1 – 258.5%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsDN SOOPers0 – 351.1%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsBNK FearX Youth2 – 156.2%正確
- LRN Split 2 2026Zeu5 Esportsvs3v Team3 – 167.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOSvspaiN Gaming2 – 060.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Leviatan EsportsvsRED Canids2 – 053%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Arctic PandasvsBrod n Friends2 – 150.1%正確
- LEC Summer 2026G2 EsportsvsNatus Vincere0 – 254.8%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Ruddy CorporationvsLundqvist Lightside2 – 050.1%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Team VitalityvsSK Gaming0 – 252.9%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Gen.GvsDN SOOPers0 – 255.8%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Kiwoom DRXvsDN SOOPers2 – 153.3%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026KT Rolster ChallengersvsDN SOOPers Challengers1 – 259.1%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Gen.GvsHanwha Life Esports2 – 157.4%錯誤
2026 第 33 週常見問題
2026 第 33 週的 LoL 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 33 週（10.08.26 – 16.08.26）共有 112 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 78 場正確（69.6%）。 與 2026 第 32 週（61.8%）相比，準確率上升 7.8 個百分點。
2026 第 33 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Top Esports 原本被預測以 68.3% 勝率獲勝，卻在 LPL Split 3 2026 以 0–2 敗給 Team WE。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 10 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 8 場（80%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。