LoL 2026 第 34 週
2026 第 34 週回顧（17.08.26 – 23.08.26）：共 108 場 LoL 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 75 場正確，命中率 69.4%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 33 週（69.6%）相比，準確率下降 0.2 個百分點。
命中率69.4%
正確75/108
爆冷3
日期17.08.26 – 23.08.26
2026 第 34 週最大爆冷
2026 第 34 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 34 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- LCS Summer 2026FlyQuestvsDignitas0 – 257.3%正確
- LCS Summer 2026SentinelsvsDisguised0 – 260.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOSvsLOUD0 – 251.2%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026Karmine CorpvsShifters1 – 280.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Fluxo W7MvsRED Canids2 – 053.2%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026GIANTXvsTeam Heretics0 – 251.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsAnyone's Legend2 – 161.9%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Galions SharksvsCaldya Esport3 – 060%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsEDward Gaming1 – 267.4%正確
- LCK 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsT12 – 052%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026LGD GamingvsThunderTalk Gaming0 – 259.2%正確
- LCS Summer 2026DignitasvsDisguised2 – 051.5%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026FlyQuestvsSentinels2 – 053.1%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026paiN GamingvsFURIA Esports0 – 252.1%錯誤
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsSK Gaming2 – 054.9%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd StarsvsLeviatan Esports0 – 252.8%正確
- LEC Summer 2026FnaticvsShifters2 – 060.1%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsTop Esports2 – 062%正確
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsKiwoom DRX2 – 067.6%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Invictus GamingvsNinjas in Pyjamas2 – 050.8%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026GAM EsportsvsMVK Esports3 – 266.6%錯誤
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsDplus KIA2 – 155.8%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026LGD GamingvsTeam WE1 – 268%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Winthrop UniversityvsUniversity of Mississippi0 – 254.4%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026NRG EsportsvsContingent Esports2 – 061.2%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Team VitalityvsNatus Vincere2 – 156.2%正確
- LEC Summer 2026SK GamingvsTeam Heretics2 – 051%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsBilibili Gaming0 – 256.5%錯誤
- LCK 2026T1vsKT Rolster1 – 259.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsTeam WE1 – 266.6%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026Team Secret WhalesvsGAM Esports3 – 175.3%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026ThunderTalk GamingvsEDward Gaming2 – 056.5%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026T1 AcademyvsNongshim Esports Academy2 – 164.7%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Maryville UniversityvsDorado Gaming0 – 250.2%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Cupid EsportsvsConviction2 – 058.3%正確
- EBL Summer 2026Only The FamilyvsSPIKE Syndicate0 – 254%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026Anonymo EsportsvsBarcząca Esports0 – 254%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Frites Esports ClubvsZennIT2 – 063%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsSkillcamp Esport1 – 253.3%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026Tung Tung BogivsNORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS1 – 250.3%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026The BanditsvsSenshi Esports2 – 152.5%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026Pyramid IV EsportsvsDisruptors3 – 151.2%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsIci Japon Corp. Esport2 – 058.7%正確
- EBL Summer 2026The Secret ClubvsDefinitely not washed up2 – 156.5%正確
- LIT Summer 2026HMBLEvsGMBLERS ESPORTS3 – 060.2%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsTeam Heretics Academy3 – 256.2%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026CITA KaizenvsBohemian Guardians2 – 055.2%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026UP2UMEDIA CebulakivsBOMBA Team1 – 252.3%錯誤
- TCL Summer 2026Bushido WildcatsvsDIA Ozarox Esports1 – 354.4%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026G2 NORDvsEintracht Spandau3 – 160%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026NightBirdsvsEXILE esports2 – 064.8%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026BublikivsCapybara Esports1 – 250.2%正確
- LES Summer 2026UCAM Esports ClubvsBarça eSports2 – 156.4%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsLGD Gaming1 – 268.5%正確
- LCK 2026Nongshim Red ForcevsKiwoom DRX2 – 056.6%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsThunderTalk Gaming2 – 162.8%正確
- LCK 2026Dplus KIAvsHanwha Life Esports0 – 254.8%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsHANJIN BRION Challengers1 – 262.1%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Dplus KIA ChallengersvsDN SOOPers Challengers2 – 067.9%正確
- LRS Split 2 2026Maze GamingvsDocta Esports0 – 354.3%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Tung Tung BogivsWay Gaming Esports0 – 250%正確
- EBL Summer 2026Lenovo Legion HonvédvsHooligans0 – 254.1%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026GnG AmazighvsDisruptors2 – 050.8%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Arctic PandasvsB2U0 – 256.9%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsJoblife0 – 254.1%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026DOCISKvsBarcząca Esports2 – 054.4%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026EXILE esportsvsBohemian Guardians2 – 052.1%正確
- LIT Summer 2026TITANSvsP11 Esports3 – 057.7%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026Baam EsportsvsPyramid IV Esports2 – 057.8%正確
- EBL Summer 2026MAGAZAvsREDPack Esports2 – 160.3%正確
- NLC Summer 2026VerdantvsBulldog Esports2 – 052.6%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionvsBIG3 – 252.2%錯誤
- TCL Summer 2026SU EsportsvsDark Passage3 – 256%正確
- LES Summer 2026Team Heretics AcademyvsUCAM Esports Club0 – 357.4%正確
- Rift Legends Summer 2026devils.one inStreamlyvsUP2UMEDIA Cebulaki0 – 258.9%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026BRUTEvsOnion Team1 – 257.1%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026EDward GamingvsTeam WE0 – 260.6%正確
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsHANJIN BRION2 – 068.7%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsTop Esports1 – 250.8%錯誤
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsKT Rolster2 – 165.7%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Weibo GamingvsLNG Esports1 – 254.2%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026KT Rolster ChallengersvsT1 Academy1 – 251.9%錯誤
- LRN Split 2 20263v TeamvsKits Esports2 – 354.5%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026KaBuM! Ilha das LendasvsVivo Keyd Stars Academy1 – 256.7%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-Sportsvs7REX2 – 058.3%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsGalions2 – 050.5%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Once Upon A TeamvsDynasty0 – 250.6%錯誤
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026mCon esportsvsMyth Esports0 – 250.1%錯誤
- Rift Legends Summer 2026LodisvsBOMBA Team1 – 250.1%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026MeavedronvsBohemian Guardians2 – 052.6%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsTLN Pirates0 – 263.7%錯誤
- Rift Legends Summer 2026ForsakenvsAnonymo Esports0 – 255.4%正確
- TCL Summer 2026Bushido WildcatsvsTeam Phoenix3 – 052.2%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsBarça eSports3 – 068.3%正確
- Hitpoint Masters Summer 2026CITA KaizenvsNightBirds2 – 053.7%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026DN SOOPersvsNongshim Red Force0 – 359%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Nongshim Esports AcademyvsDN SOOPers Challengers2 – 157.3%錯誤
- LRN Split 2 20263v TeamvsLYON Academy3 – 059.9%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming AcademyvsEi Nerd Esports0 – 253.4%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvsRMD Gaming2 – 061.8%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Volda E-SportvsLundqvist Lightside1 – 252.2%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Bulldog EsportsvsLEO2 – 050.2%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Karmine CorpvsGIANTX0 – 269.8%正確
- NLC Summer 2026DMG EsportsvsBrod n Friends0 – 252.1%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Team HereticsvsNatus Vincere2 – 056.4%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsHanwha Life Esports Challengers2 – 053.4%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026DN SOOPersvsT11 – 357.6%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Dplus KIA ChallengersvsKT Rolster Challengers0 – 257.2%錯誤
2026 第 34 週常見問題
2026 第 34 週的 LoL 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 34 週（17.08.26 – 23.08.26）共有 108 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 75 場正確（69.4%）。 與 2026 第 33 週（69.6%）相比，準確率下降 0.2 個百分點。
2026 第 34 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
DN SOOPers 原本被預測以 68.7% 勝率獲勝，卻在 LCK 2026 以 0–2 敗給 HANJIN BRION。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 13 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 10 場（77%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。