LoL 2026 第 31 週
2026 第 31 週回顧（27.07.26 – 02.08.26）：共 153 場 LoL 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 103 場正確，命中率 67.3%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 30 週（62.2%）相比，準確率上升 5.1 個百分點。
命中率67.3%
正確103/153
爆冷1
日期27.07.26 – 02.08.26
2026 第 31 週最大爆冷
2026 第 31 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 31 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- LCS Summer 2026Team LiquidvsSentinels2 – 054.9%正確
- LCS Summer 2026Shopify RebellionvsLYON2 – 057.2%錯誤
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOSvsRED Canids2 – 057.2%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Movistar KOIvsFnatic1 – 250.5%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026LOUDvsFluxo W7M0 – 256.9%正確
- LEC Summer 2026SK GamingvsG2 Esports0 – 252%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Caldya EsportvsZephyr Esport0 – 152.4%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Project ConquerorsvsTeam High Ground1 – 057.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsJD Gaming2 – 055.6%正確
- LCK 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsKT Rolster2 – 158%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Lausanne-Sport EsportsvsLille Esport0 – 155.9%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026LNG EsportsvsInvictus Gaming0 – 251.4%錯誤
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsHANJIN BRION2 – 151.3%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026ThunderTalk GamingvsTeam WE1 – 258.5%錯誤
- LCS Summer 2026FlyQuestvsDisguised2 – 058.1%正確
- LCS Summer 2026Cloud9vsDignitas2 – 154.9%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Karmine CorpvsNatus Vincere2 – 058%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026paiN GamingvsLeviatan Esports0 – 250.2%正確
- CBLOL Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd StarsvsFURIA Esports2 – 053.5%正確
- LEC Summer 2026GIANTXvsSK Gaming1 – 250%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Galions SharksvsLille Esport0 – 162.8%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsJD Gaming0 – 262.8%正確
- LCP Split 3 2026GAM EsportsvsMVK Esports2 – 063.6%錯誤
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsDplus KIA0 – 256%錯誤
- Nexus League Summer 2026Project ConquerorsvsCrystal Rose1 – 062.6%正確
- Nexus League Summer 2026Lausanne-Sport EsportsvsCaldya Esport1 – 052.1%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026Deep Cross GamingvsDetonatioN FocusMe2 – 051.6%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsLGD Gaming1 – 258.4%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsThunderTalk Gaming2 – 060.7%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026NRG EsportsvsDorado Gaming2 – 050.3%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Cupid EsportsvsMaryville University0 – 254.5%正確
- LIT Summer 2026Zena EsportsvsTITANS1 – 050.7%正確
- LIT Summer 2026Colossal GamingvsAeterna Esports1 – 052.5%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026HMBLEvsP11 Esports0 – 166.3%正確
- LEC Summer 2026ShiftersvsMovistar KOI2 – 151.9%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026GMBLERS ESPORTSvsEKO Esports0 – 152.1%正確
- LEC Summer 2026Team HereticsvsTeam Vitality2 – 052.1%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026GAM EsportsvsCTBC Flying Oyster2 – 163.4%錯誤
- LCK 2026HANJIN BRIONvsKiwoom DRX1 – 251%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsTeam WE0 – 274.6%正確
- LCK 2026Gen.GvsT10 – 252.2%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Anyone's LegendvsEDward Gaming2 – 064%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026KT Rolster ChallengersvsDN SOOPers Challengers2 – 161.9%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsHANJIN BRION Challengers2 – 052.3%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Dorado GamingvsConviction1 – 256.9%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026NRG EsportsvsWinthrop University2 – 152.4%正確
- LFL Summer 2026TLN PiratesvsEsprit Shōnen1 – 055.6%正確
- LIT Summer 2026EKO EsportsvsZena Esports0 – 158.8%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026JSK EsportsvsGnG Amazigh2 – 154.4%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026GalionsvsZYB Esport0 – 151.1%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsJoblife0 – 151.6%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Kaufland Hangry KnightsvsVfB eSports1 – 261%正確
- LIT Summer 2026Colossal GamingvsP11 Esports1 – 050.2%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026mCon esportsvsSenshi Esports2 – 158%正確
- LES Summer 2026Team Heretics AcademyvsFALKE Esports2 – 058.3%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Frites Esports ClubvsOnce Upon A Team2 – 057.5%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsVitality.Bee0 – 155.9%錯誤
- LIT Summer 2026GMBLERS ESPORTSvsAeterna Esports0 – 152.4%錯誤
- TCL Summer 2026SU EsportsvsBushido Wildcats0 – 250%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsIci Japon Corp. Esport0 – 166.9%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026DisruptorsvsOne More Esports2 – 153.9%正確
- EBL Summer 2026MAGAZAvsCroatian Flair x RLX2 – 054.6%正確
- LIT Summer 2026HMBLEvsTITANS1 – 058.9%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026ROSSMANN CentaursvsEintracht Spandau2 – 151.4%錯誤
- LES Summer 2026Barça eSportsvsLUA Gaming0 – 250.1%正確
- TCL Summer 2026BoostGate EsportsvsPCIFIC2 – 052.3%錯誤
- LCP Split 3 2026Deep Cross GamingvsGround Zero Gaming2 – 151.5%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026JD GamingvsThunderTalk Gaming1 – 251.2%正確
- LCK 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsDplus KIA1 – 261.9%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026EDward GamingvsTeam WE0 – 259.4%錯誤
- LCK 2026DN SOOPersvsBNK FEARX0 – 250.4%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Ninjas in PyjamasvsWeibo Gaming2 – 054.3%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Dplus KIA ChallengersvsT1 Academy2 – 153.2%正確
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026Contingent EsportsvsBlue Otter1 – 256.8%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvsRED Academy0 – 154.5%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming Academyvs7REX1 – 053.8%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Panelão LHCvsRole Swappers0 – 152.3%錯誤
- North American Challengers League Summer 2026University of MississippivsCCG Esports2 – 150%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026RMD GamingvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas1 – 050%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026BublikivsEXSAD Gaming1 – 050%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-SportsvsEi Nerd Esports1 – 053.6%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsGalions1 – 057.7%錯誤
- Equal eSports Cup 2026AZ Rising EternavsBarcząca Esports Babylon2 – 053.3%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026Dream EsportsvsTung Tung Bogi1 – 050%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsJoblife1 – 061.1%正確
- EBL Summer 2026MAGAZAvsLupus Esports2 – 050%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026DisruptorsvsBaam Esports0 – 254.2%錯誤
- NLC Summer 2026DMG Esportsvs2 Massive2 – 052.3%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsEsprit Shōnen1 – 066.9%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026ZeroZone GamingvsWay Gaming Esports0 – 152.3%錯誤
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionvsTeamOrangeGaming1 – 269.7%正確
- LES Summer 2026Movistar KOI FénixvsFALKE Esports2 – 056.6%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026Anubis GamingvsGnG Amazigh2 – 058.2%正確
- NLC Summer 2026LEOvsRich Gang2 – 150%正確
- Equal eSports Cup 2026SK Gaming AvarosavsG2 HEL2 – 154.4%錯誤
- LFL Summer 2026TLN PiratesvsZYB Esport0 – 151.9%錯誤
- HLL Summer 2026The ParadOx InvadersvsZerolag Esports2 – 056.6%正確
- LES Summer 2026Team Heretics AcademyvsLUA Gaming0 – 256.4%正確
- Prime League 1st Division Summer 2026G2 NORDvsVfB eSports0 – 267.5%正確
- HLL Summer 2026ValerionvsWLGaming Esports0 – 256.5%正確
- LPL Split 3 2026Bilibili GamingvsLGD Gaming2 – 164.7%正確
- LCK 2026T1vsKT Rolster0 – 263.4%錯誤
- LPL Split 3 2026Top EsportsvsAnyone's Legend0 – 253.4%錯誤
- LCK 2026Nongshim Red ForcevsKiwoom DRX0 – 254.1%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Kiwoom DRX ChallengersvsGen.G Global Academy2 – 050%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026Nongshim Esports AcademyvsDN SOOPers Challengers2 – 052.3%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026RMD GamingvsRED Academy0 – 150.4%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 20267REXvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas0 – 154.2%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Estral EsportsvsINTZ e-Sports1 – 052.3%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyvsEi Nerd Esports1 – 054.4%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming AcademyvsTeam Solid0 – 158.9%錯誤
- LPLOL Summer 2026Dominion GoblinsvsCapybara Esports1 – 050%正確
- LFL Summer 2026SolaryvsIci Japon Corp. Esport1 – 059.3%正確
- LRS Split 2 20269z GlobantvsMaze Gaming3 – 162.2%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTSvsGD Esports1 – 052.3%正確
- EBL Summer 2026The Secret ClubvsCroatian Flair x RLX2 – 150%正確
- Equal eSports Cup 2026Mental RushvsAZ Rising Eterna2 – 154.4%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026Myth EsportsvsThe Bandits2 – 154%錯誤
- Arabian League Summer 2026Pyramid IV EsportsvsOne More Esports0 – 250.3%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Karmine Corp BluevsGalions1 – 057.7%正確
- LPLOL Summer 2026White DragonsvsThe Otter Side0 – 152.3%正確
- LFL Summer 2026ZYB EsportvsEsprit Shōnen1 – 050%正確
- Road Of Legends Summer 2026ZennITvsDynasty2 – 053.9%正確
- LES Summer 2026GIANTX iTerovsBarça eSports2 – 152.1%錯誤
- Equal eSports Cup 2026Vitality Rising BeesvsG2 HEL2 – 052.5%正確
- LFL Summer 2026Skillcamp EsportvsTLN Pirates0 – 152.4%正確
- Arabian League Summer 2026JSK Esportsvs3BL Esports2 – 052.3%正確
- HLL Summer 2026Spartans EUvsALMO Players0 – 254%正確
- LES Summer 2026UCAM Esports ClubvsUB Alma Mater0 – 256.5%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026HANJIN BRIONvsDN SOOPers2 – 153.7%錯誤
- LCK Challengers League 2026KT Rolster ChallengersvsDplus KIA Challengers1 – 252%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Kiwoom DRXvsKT Rolster2 – 050.1%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026INTZ e-SportsvsRMD Gaming1 – 062.5%正確
- LRN Split 2 2026FuegovsKits Esports3 – 058.6%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyvsEstral Esports0 – 150%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026Team SolidvsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas1 – 054.2%錯誤
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 2026paiN Gaming AcademyvsEi Nerd Esports1 – 050.2%正確
- Circuito Desafiante Split 2 20267REXvsRED Academy1 – 054.8%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Arctic PandasvsBulldog Esports0 – 252.3%錯誤
- NLC Summer 2026Lundqvist LightsidevsVerdant2 – 052%錯誤
- NLC Summer 2026Deer GamingvsEpic Avalanche2 – 052.3%正確
- NLC Summer 2026Ruddy CorporationvsVolda E-Sport2 – 050%正確
- HLL Summer 2026ValerionvsThe ParadOx Invaders2 – 056.9%正確
- HLL Summer 2026Team PhantasmavsALMO Players2 – 058.8%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026T1vsDN SOOPers1 – 057.4%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Dplus KIAvsHANJIN BRION1 – 050.3%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026T1vsNongshim Red Force0 – 158.3%錯誤
- KeSPA Cup 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsKiwoom DRX1 – 057.5%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026T1vsDplus KIA0 – 156.4%正確
- LCK Challengers League 2026T1 AcademyvsNongshim Esports Academy2 – 152.9%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Gen.GvsKT Rolster0 – 156.6%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Hanwha Life EsportsvsDplus KIA0 – 151.4%正確
- KeSPA Cup 2026Gen.GvsBNK FEARX0 – 152.1%正確
2026 第 31 週常見問題
2026 第 31 週的 LoL 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 31 週（27.07.26 – 02.08.26）共有 153 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 103 場正確（67.3%）。 與 2026 第 30 週（62.2%）相比，準確率上升 5.1 個百分點。
2026 第 31 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Karmine Corp Blue 原本被預測以 66.9% 勝率獲勝，卻在 LFL Summer 2026 以 0–1 敗給 Ici Japon Corp. Esport。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 6 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 5 場（83%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。