Dota 2 2026 第 30 週
2026 第 30 週回顧（20.07.26 – 26.07.26）：共 44 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 27 場正確，命中率 61.4%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 29 週（57.1%）相比，準確率上升 4.3 個百分點。
命中率61.4%
正確27/44
爆冷0
日期20.07.26 – 26.07.26
2026 第 30 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 30 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsTeam Jenz1 – 254.3%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026RE.ArisevsKW0 – 260.9%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Ilbirs eSportsvsNemiga Gaming1 – 263%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026KWvsTeam Lynx2 – 160.2%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026Spirit AcademyvsYellow Submarine2 – 150.6%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026Team SyntaxvsSpirit Academy1 – 056.4%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026Yellow SubmarinevsZero Tenacity0 – 152.9%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026Yellow SubmarinevsLevel UP0 – 157.3%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026KWvsPuckChamp0 – 259.9%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026RE.ArisevsTeam Syntax1 – 054.4%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026Level UPvsNemiga Gaming0 – 151%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026Yellow SubmarinevsSpirit Academy0 – 154.3%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026RE.ArisevsZero Tenacity1 – 064.2%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026Team SyntaxvsRottweilas0 – 159.1%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026RottweilasvsZero Tenacity1 – 050.8%錯誤
- Paragon Turbina 2026Spirit AcademyvsLevel UP0 – 156.8%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026Yellow SubmarinevsNemiga Gaming1 – 059.3%正確
- Paragon Turbina 2026RE.ArisevsTeam Syntax1 – 055.1%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team JenzvsPuckChamp1 – 255.1%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Ilbirs eSportsvsTeam AION2 – 063.9%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Nemiga GamingvsLevel UP0 – 253.6%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Ilbirs eSportsvsZero Tenacity0 – 250.4%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026KWvsSpirit Academy2 – 150.6%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsKW2 – 061.5%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026DandelionsvsTeam AION2 – 155.8%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Nemiga GamingvsIlbirs eSports1 – 252.1%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Level UPvsTeam AION2 – 154%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Spirit AcademyvsPuckChamp2 – 150.6%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Zero TenacityvsDandelions1 – 254.1%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsTeam Jenz1 – 255.3%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Zero TenacityvsLevel UP1 – 261.4%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsSpirit Academy2 – 155.5%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Nemiga GamingvsTeam AION2 – 058.2%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026DandelionsvsIlbirs eSports2 – 050.4%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Zero TenacityvsTeam AION2 – 056.8%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team JenzvsTeam Lynx2 – 058.4%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Spirit AcademyvsTeam Lynx1 – 253.8%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsPuckChamp1 – 254%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026DandelionsvsNemiga Gaming2 – 052.8%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Ilbirs eSportsvsLevel UP2 – 062.1%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Spirit AcademyvsTeam Jenz0 – 252.3%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Nemiga GamingvsZero Tenacity2 – 051.8%錯誤
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026PuckChampvsTeam Lynx0 – 251.8%正確
- EPL Masters Play-In season 1 2026Team SyntaxvsTeam Lynx2 – 152.8%正確
2026 第 30 週常見問題
2026 第 30 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 30 週（20.07.26 – 26.07.26）共有 44 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 27 場正確（61.4%）。 與 2026 第 29 週（57.1%）相比，準確率上升 4.3 個百分點。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。