Dota 2 2026 第 33 週
2026 第 33 週回顧（10.08.26 – 16.08.26）：共 58 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 30 場正確，命中率 51.7%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 32 週（45.2%）相比，準確率上升 6.5 個百分點。
命中率51.7%
正確30/58
爆冷1
日期10.08.26 – 16.08.26
2026 第 33 週最大爆冷
2026 第 33 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 33 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- The International 2026Team YandexvsLGD Gaming1 – 251.8%正確
- The International 2026Iron WingvsGamerLegion2 – 053.9%正確
- The International 2026Team SpiritvsTeam Resilience2 – 160.6%正確
- The International 2026AuroravsBoomBoys0 – 258%錯誤
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsVici Gaming2 – 059.9%正確
- The International 2026Team SpiritvsNigma Galaxy2 – 057.4%錯誤
- The International 2026Team LiquidvsAurora2 – 151%正確
- The International 2026Team YandexvsIron Wing2 – 155.7%錯誤
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsBoomBoys1 – 259.8%正確
- The International 2026Vici GamingvsLGD Gaming2 – 057%錯誤
- The International 2026OGvsGamerLegion0 – 253.9%錯誤
- The International 2026Team ResiliencevsXtreme Gaming2 – 050.2%正確
- The International 2026Team SpiritvsTEAM VISION2 – 054.6%錯誤
- The International 2026AuroravsBoomBoys0 – 256.3%正確
- The International 2026Team LiquidvsIron Wing1 – 262.6%正確
- The International 2026Vici GamingvsNigma Galaxy2 – 051.5%錯誤
- The International 2026Xtreme GamingvsLGD Gaming2 – 151.3%錯誤
- The International 2026HULIGANIvsOG2 – 152.9%錯誤
- The International 2026Team YandexvsTeam Resilience1 – 256.1%正確
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsGamerLegion2 – 158.7%正確
- The International 2026Team YandexvsAurora2 – 152.2%錯誤
- The International 2026HULIGANIvsXtreme Gaming2 – 052.7%錯誤
- The International 2026Team LiquidvsTeam Spirit1 – 252.4%錯誤
- The International 2026Vici GamingvsGamerLegion2 – 153.5%正確
- The International 2026Team ResiliencevsOG2 – 050.4%正確
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsIron Wing2 – 161.4%錯誤
- The International 2026TEAM VISIONvsBoomBoys0 – 256.8%正確
- The International 2026Nigma GalaxyvsLGD Gaming0 – 253.2%正確
- The International 2026AuroravsTeam Spirit2 – 054.1%錯誤
- The International 2026GamerLegionvsXtreme Gaming0 – 250.4%正確
- The International 2026Team YandexvsTeam Liquid1 – 251.5%錯誤
- The International 2026HULIGANIvsVici Gaming1 – 251.8%錯誤
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsTEAM VISION2 – 155.2%錯誤
- The International 2026OGvsNigma Galaxy2 – 050.1%錯誤
- The International 2026Team ResiliencevsLGD Gaming2 – 153.9%錯誤
- The International 2026BoomBoysvsIron Wing2 – 150%正確
- The International 2026Team YandexvsHULIGANI2 – 056.5%正確
- The International 2026Team SpiritvsXtreme Gaming2 – 050.2%正確
- The International 2026AuroravsGamerLegion2 – 054.3%正確
- The International 2026Team LiquidvsVici Gaming2 – 058.8%正確
- The International 2026Team FalconsvsLGD Gaming2 – 156.7%正確
- The International 2026OGvsBoomBoys2 – 054.3%錯誤
- The International 2026TEAM VISIONvsTeam Resilience2 – 152.2%正確
- The International 2026Nigma GalaxyvsIron Wing2 – 054.2%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Natus VincerevsLevel UP3 – 060.3%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Level UPvsRune Eaters2 – 160.9%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Zero TenacityvsRune Eaters2 – 154%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Zero TenacityvsYellow Submarine0 – 251.9%正確
- Asgard Championship Season 1 2026Spirit AcademyvsLevel UP1 – 358.7%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Rune EatersvsMOUZ1 – 260%正確
- Asgard Championship Season 1 2026Spirit AcademyvsNo Hoodwink2 – 059.2%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Natus VincerevsLevel UP0 – 259.3%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Rune EatersvsNatus Vincere0 – 254.5%錯誤
- Asgard Championship Season 1 2026RE.ArisevsNo Hoodwink2 – 061.2%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Yellow SubmarinevsLevel UP1 – 258.1%錯誤
- Asgard Championship Season 1 2026RE.ArisevsTeam Lynx1 – 263.4%正確
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Ilbirs eSportsvsZero Tenacity0 – 251.2%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 1 2026Power RangersvsMOUZ1 – 270.8%錯誤
2026 第 33 週常見問題
2026 第 33 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 33 週（10.08.26 – 16.08.26）共有 58 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 30 場正確（51.7%）。 與 2026 第 32 週（45.2%）相比，準確率上升 6.5 個百分點。
2026 第 33 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Power Rangers 原本被預測以 70.8% 勝率獲勝，卻在 EPL Masters Season 1 2026 以 1–2 敗給 MOUZ。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。