Dota 2 2026 第 40 週
2026 第 40 週回顧（28.09.26 – 04.10.26）：共 45 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 34 場正確，命中率 75.6%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 39 週（59.7%）相比，準確率上升 15.9 個百分點。
命中率75.6%
正確34/45
爆冷4
日期28.09.26 – 04.10.26
2026 第 40 週最大爆冷
2026 第 40 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 40 週所有預測
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsIvory2 – 073.2%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team YandexvsTeam Spirit2 – 159.1%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 20261winvsOG2 – 152.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Cake TeamvsDaxak Team1 – 350%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026PARIVISIONvsAurora2 – 056.4%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026LGD GamingvsGamerLegion2 – 161.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Cake TeamvsRostik Team0 – 259.4%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Xipto EsportsvsЯЧЁ1232 – 078.2%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026DirebornvsIvory2 – 076.2%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsCloud Dawning1 – 263.8%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026BetBoom TeamvsOG2 – 163.5%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team LiquidvsGamerLegion2 – 070.5%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 20261winvsTeam Nemesis2 – 063.1%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026LGD GamingvsXtreme Gaming2 – 162.3%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Cloud DawningvsIvory2 – 052.4%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsTeam Kinetix2 – 064.7%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Xipto EsportsvsInterActive Philippines1 – 269.2%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026AuroravsTeam Liquid2 – 153.1%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026GamerLegionvsYakult Brothers2 – 062.8%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team YandexvsBetBoom Team2 – 073.5%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026OGvsMOUZ0 – 275.7%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Xipto EsportsvsDireborn2 – 054.5%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Cloud DawningvsTeam Kinetix2 – 153.2%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Yangon GalacticosvsIvory0 – 265.2%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Xtreme GamingvsLevel UP0 – 271.9%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026PARIVISIONvsLGD Gaming2 – 065%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Natus VincerevsTeam Nemesis2 – 181.1%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team Spiritvs1win2 – 075%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026IvoryvsTeam Kinetix1 – 253.1%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team YandexvsMOUZ2 – 094.9%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026BetBoom TeamvsOG2 – 166.9%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026DirebornvsInterActive Philippines1 – 262.5%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Yangon GalacticosvsCloud Dawning0 – 257.2%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team LiquidvsYakult Brothers2 – 188.6%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026AuroravsGamerLegion2 – 072.2%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026LGD GamingvsXtreme Gaming2 – 161.3%正確
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Natus Vincerevs1win2 – 171.2%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026PARIVISIONvsLevel UP2 – 089.8%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026DirebornvsYangon Galacticos2 – 069.4%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Season 8 2026Team SpiritvsTeam Nemesis2 – 190%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsYangon Galacticos1 – 253%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Xipto EsportsvsTeam Kinetix0 – 274.6%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026ЯЧЁ123vsInterActive Philippines0 – 251.3%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Yangon GalacticosvsXipto Esports1 – 254.8%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026DirebornvsTeam Kinetix2 – 170.1%正確
2026 第 40 週常見問題
2026 第 40 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 40 週（28.09.26 – 04.10.26）共有 45 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 34 場正確（75.6%）。 與 2026 第 39 週（59.7%）相比，準確率上升 15.9 個百分點。
2026 第 40 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Natus Vincere 原本被預測以 81.1% 勝率獲勝，卻在 BLAST Slam Season 8 2026 以 1–2 敗給 Team Nemesis。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 22 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 18 場（82%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。