Dota 2 2026 第 39 週
2026 第 39 週回顧（21.09.26 – 27.09.26）：共 77 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 46 場正確，命中率 59.7%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 38 週（57.6%）相比，準確率上升 2.1 個百分點。
命中率59.7%
正確46/77
爆冷3
日期21.09.26 – 27.09.26
2026 第 39 週最大爆冷
2026 第 39 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 39 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Cake TeamvsYBN Team1 – 252.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Daxak TeamvsRostik Team2 – 159.5%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team YandexvsNatus Vincere3 – 051.6%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026avice TeamvsCake Team0 – 251.3%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Stray TeamvsYBN Team2 – 054.3%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026IvoryvsЯЧЁ1231 – 258.3%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsLGD Gaming1 – 267%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026DirebornvsЯЧЁ1230 – 263.6%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Cloud DawningvsXipto Esports0 – 253.2%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026avice TeamvsRostik Team2 – 154.7%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsXtreme Gaming2 – 063%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Daxak TeamvsYBN Team2 – 060.5%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team YandexvsLGD Gaming0 – 267.3%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026IvoryvsXipto Esports2 – 063.8%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsAurora0 – 259.6%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Xtreme GamingvsGamerLegion2 – 056%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Yangon GalacticosvsЯЧЁ1232 – 150.4%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Travoman TeamvsYBN Team2 – 062.6%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team YandexvsAurora1 – 260.6%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Cake Teamvsgpk Team2 – 154.6%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Rostik TeamvsStray Team2 – 052.8%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Xtreme GamingvsLGD Gaming0 – 252.8%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsYellow Submarine3 – 254.6%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026SoloTeamvsavice Team0 – 252%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 20261winvsGamerLegion2 – 153.6%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsTeam Nemesis1 – 271.4%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 18 2026Yangon GalacticosvsTeam Kinetix0 – 254%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Travoman TeamvsStray Team2 – 055.9%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026SoloTeamvsCake Team2 – 061%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team Yandexvs1win2 – 065.9%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsTeam Lynx2 – 158.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Rostik TeamvsNS Team0 – 252.4%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026AuroravsGamerLegion2 – 061.9%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Daxak Teamvsgpk Team2 – 162.5%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsTeam Lynx0 – 252.3%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsLGD Gaming1 – 268.7%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Xtreme GamingvsTeam Nemesis2 – 070.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026YBN TeamvsRostik Team0 – 251.3%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026KalmychatavsTeam Lynx0 – 252.7%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026avice Teamvsgpk Team2 – 152%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsYellow Submarine2 – 152.1%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026LGD GamingvsMOUZ2 – 069.5%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026NS TeamvsStray Team2 – 150.8%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Daxak TeamvsCake Team1 – 258.8%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsNemiga Gaming2 – 069.8%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Conventus StellarumvsTeam Nemesis2 – 159%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 20261winvsPipsqueak+42 – 064%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Stray TeamvsYBN Team2 – 155.3%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsKalmychata2 – 164%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsTwo Move0 – 258.7%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Travoman TeamvsNS Team2 – 153.1%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026AuroravsLGD Gaming0 – 251.8%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Daxak Teamvsavice Team0 – 252.2%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Spirit AcademyvsNemiga Gaming0 – 263.9%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026HokorivsMOUZ2 – 052%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026SoloTeamvsgpk Team2 – 054.9%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus Vincerevs1win2 – 161.5%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Pipsqueak+4vsTeam Cobra2 – 152.3%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Zero TenacityvsTeam Lynx1 – 252.1%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026GamerLegionvsTeam Nemesis1 – 260.8%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Yakult BrothersvsConventus Stellarum2 – 056.3%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Travoman TeamvsRostik Team1 – 263.1%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsTeam Lynx2 – 164.3%正確
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026Cake Teamvsavice Team1 – 250.2%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsTeam Yandex2 – 051.5%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026NS TeamvsYBN Team1 – 251.2%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Pibbles CorpvsHokori0 – 273.1%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsSpirit Academy2 – 068.2%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026LGD GamingvsXtreme Gaming0 – 250.5%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026PlayTimevsYakult Brothers2 – 065.9%錯誤
- BetBoom Streamers Battle Season 15 2026SoloTeamvsDaxak Team1 – 255.6%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Zero TenacityvsTwo Move2 – 051.5%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team NemesisvsMOUZ2 – 053.3%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 20261winvsConventus Stellarum1 – 265.8%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026KalmychatavsNemiga Gaming0 – 269.4%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026AuroravsTeam Cobra2 – 069.3%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026GamerLegionvsPipsqueak+42 – 156.1%正確
2026 第 39 週常見問題
2026 第 39 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 39 週（21.09.26 – 27.09.26）共有 77 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 46 場正確（59.7%）。 與 2026 第 38 週（57.6%）相比，準確率上升 2.1 個百分點。
2026 第 39 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Pibbles Corp 原本被預測以 73.1% 勝率獲勝，卻在 PGL Wallachia season 9 2026 以 0–2 敗給 Hokori。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 14 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 11 場（79%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。