Dota 2 2026 第 37 週
2026 第 37 週回顧（07.09.26 – 13.09.26）：共 53 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 35 場正確，命中率 66%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 36 週（53.7%）相比，準確率上升 12.3 個百分點。
命中率66%
正確35/53
爆冷5
日期07.09.26 – 13.09.26
2026 第 37 週最大爆冷
2026 第 37 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 37 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- European Pro League Season 40 2026KalmychatavsSpirit Academy2 – 079%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stray ClubvsYBN Club2 – 156.9%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Cooman ClubvsRostikfacekid Club2 – 052.3%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stariy Bog ClubvsRecrent Club1 – 252.4%正確
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Dawn BullsvsKlim Sani42 – 051.8%正確
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Team BoredvsTeam Nemesis2 – 050%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026CarstenszvsЯЧЁ1232 – 194.4%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Pipsqueak+4vsNatus Vincere2 – 050.8%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026ExecrationvsTeam Bored1 – 278.1%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026CarstenszvsTeam Kinetix0 – 294.7%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Team NemesisvsDireborn2 – 151.3%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Rostik999 ClubvsYBN Club2 – 150%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026PuckChampvsNemiga Gaming0 – 250.9%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026HULIGANIvsKlim Sani40 – 250%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stariy Bog ClubvsVooDooSh Club2 – 054.6%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsZero Tenacity0 – 256.3%正確
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026MOUZvsDawn Bulls0 – 285%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stariy Bog ClubvsDaxak Club0 – 250%錯誤
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Team BoredvsXipto Esports0 – 254.6%正確
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Pipsqueak+4vsGamerLegion2 – 054.6%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Daxak ClubvsNS Club2 – 050%正確
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026ExecrationvsYangon Galacticos2 – 179%正確
- BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier season 9 2026Natus VincerevsZero Tenacity2 – 068.5%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team KinetixvsD family0 – 289.4%正確
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026DirebornvsЯЧЁ1232 – 050%正確
- BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier season 9 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsTeam Nemesis2 – 079%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Cooman ClubvsYBN Club2 – 050%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Recrent ClubvsVooDooSh Club0 – 252.3%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stray ClubvsRostik999 Club2 – 050%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026DirebornvsYangon Galacticos2 – 053.2%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsInterActive Philippines2 – 152.8%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026VooDooSh ClubvsNS Club0 – 258.3%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Rostikfacekid ClubvsYBN Club2 – 050.2%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Natus VincerevsKlim Sani43 – 053.6%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Recrent ClubvsDaxak Club0 – 254.7%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Klim Sani4vsGamerLegion0 – 256.7%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Klim Sani4vsMOUZ1 – 257.8%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Team SynapsevsKlim Sani42 – 155.3%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026MOUZvsHULIGANI2 – 152.6%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026GamerLegionvsMOUZ1 – 250.7%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Natus VincerevsKlim Sani42 – 156%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Team SynapsevsPipsqueak+42 – 152.8%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsTeam Kinetix2 – 053%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Power RangersvsHULIGANI1 – 259.5%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026DirebornvsCarstensz0 – 257.1%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026InterActive PhilippinesvsD family0 – 256.6%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Pipsqueak+4vsGamerLegion2 – 060.2%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Team SynapsevsMOUZ2 – 163.8%錯誤
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Klim Sani4vsHULIGANI0 – 268.6%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Yangon GalacticosvsCarstensz2 – 051.4%正確
- EPL Masters Season 2 2026Natus VincerevsPower Rangers2 – 058.7%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026CarstenszvsInterActive Philippines0 – 257.6%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026DirebornvsTeam Kinetix2 – 051.4%正確
2026 第 37 週常見問題
2026 第 37 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 37 週（07.09.26 – 13.09.26）共有 53 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 35 場正確（66%）。 與 2026 第 36 週（53.7%）相比，準確率上升 12.3 個百分點。
2026 第 37 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
Carstensz 原本被預測以 94.7% 勝率獲勝，卻在 EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026 以 0–2 敗給 Team Kinetix。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 10 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 5 場（50%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。