Dota 2 2026 第 38 週
2026 第 38 週回顧（14.09.26 – 20.09.26）：共 66 場 Dota 2 比賽有依 Elo 模型的預測，其中 38 場正確，命中率 57.6%。下方每一列顯示預測勝方、當時的勝率與實際結果。 與 2026 第 37 週（66%）相比，準確率下降 8.4 個百分點。
命中率57.6%
正確38/66
爆冷6
日期14.09.26 – 20.09.26
2026 第 38 週最大爆冷
2026 第 38 週分析
依信心程度
信心程度是模型在賽前給予預測方的勝率。好的模型在高信心組別應該更常猜對。
依賽事
2026 第 38 週所有預測
本週部分預測是依序重跑完整比賽紀錄、以各隊賽前的 Elo 評分重建而成。
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Pibbles CorpvsMOUZ2 – 063.8%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsKalmychata2 – 157.8%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team YandexvsTeam Nemesis2 – 077.1%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026BALUvsPuckChamp2 – 052.9%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026AuroravsNatus Vincere0 – 255.6%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Yakult BrothersvsPipsqueak+42 – 168.7%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team LynxvsPuckChamp2 – 173.5%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026LGD GamingvsGamerLegion0 – 257.5%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 20261winvsHokori2 – 081.8%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsInner Circle x Insanity0 – 265.8%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Xtreme GamingvsConventus Stellarum1 – 255.7%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026PlayTimevsTeam Cobra1 – 270.9%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team LynxvsBALU2 – 064.8%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team YandexvsMOUZ2 – 172.5%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsKalmychata0 – 257%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Daxak ClubvsStariy Bog Club3 – 050.7%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026AuroravsPipsqueak+42 – 152%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Yakult BrothersvsLGD Gaming2 – 160%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Spirit AcademyvsInner Circle x Insanity2 – 154%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026VooDooSh ClubvsStariy Bog Club2 – 162.8%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026GamerLegionvsTeam Cobra2 – 056.2%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026PlayTimevsConventus Stellarum2 – 157.3%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsNemiga Gaming2 – 172.9%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Natus VincerevsHokori2 – 072.4%正確
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Pibbles CorpvsXtreme Gaming2 – 055.9%錯誤
- PGL Wallachia season 9 2026Team Nemesisvs1win1 – 259.7%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two Movevsuralan0 – 266.9%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stariy Bog ClubvsDaxak Club2 – 151.1%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026KalmychatavsInner Circle x Insanity2 – 053.2%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026VooDooSh ClubvsStray Club2 – 162.1%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Yellow SubmarinevsSpirit Academy0 – 253.6%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Cooman ClubvsStray Club2 – 152.3%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsTeam Lynx0 – 256%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Kalmychatavsuralan2 – 152.6%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026VooDooSh ClubvsRostikfacekid Club1 – 258.4%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team LynxvsNemiga Gaming1 – 257.6%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Rostikfacekid ClubvsStariy Bog Club1 – 253.6%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsSpirit Academy2 – 065.1%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stray ClubvsDaxak Club2 – 050.1%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Zero TenacityvsBALU2 – 054.3%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsYellow Submarine2 – 169%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Inner Circle x Insanityvsuralan1 – 255.1%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026PuckChampvsZero Tenacity2 – 166.3%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsBALU0 – 262.3%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsDireborn1 – 354.5%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsЯЧЁ1232 – 053.2%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026uralanvsYellow Submarine2 – 078.4%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Rostik999 ClubvsRostikfacekid Club2 – 052.1%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stray ClubvsCooman Club1 – 258.8%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Nemiga GamingvsZero Tenacity2 – 167%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Daxak ClubvsVooDooSh Club1 – 254.5%錯誤
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team SynapsevsPuckChamp2 – 050%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026ЯЧЁ123vsYangon Galacticos1 – 255%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026NS ClubvsRecrent Club1 – 250.2%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsDireborn1 – 257.6%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team KinetixvsЯЧЁ1232 – 155.2%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stray ClubvsRostikfacekid Club1 – 251.9%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Spirit Academyvsuralan2 – 078.4%正確
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Rostik999 ClubvsCooman Club2 – 150.1%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Two MovevsInner Circle x Insanity2 – 058.7%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026BALUvsNemiga Gaming0 – 259.3%錯誤
- Winline Star Series Season 4 2026Stariy Bog ClubvsNS Club0 – 254.5%正確
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Yangon GalacticosvsInterActive Philippines2 – 151.4%正確
- European Pro League Season 40 2026Team LynxvsZero Tenacity2 – 169.8%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026ЯЧЁ123vsDireborn2 – 052%錯誤
- EPL World Series Southeast Asia season 17 2026Team NemesisvsYangon Galacticos2 – 059%正確
2026 第 38 週常見問題
2026 第 38 週的 Dota 2 預測準確率如何？
2026 第 38 週（14.09.26 – 20.09.26）共有 66 場比賽以 Elo 預測，其中 38 場正確（57.6%）。 與 2026 第 37 週（66%）相比，準確率下降 8.4 個百分點。
2026 第 38 週最大的爆冷是哪一場？
uralan 原本被預測以 78.4% 勝率獲勝，卻在 European Pro League Season 40 2026 以 0–2 敗給 Yellow Submarine。
模型信心達 65% 以上時準確率如何？
本週模型在 17 場勝率 65% 以上的預測中猜對 11 場（65%）。
預測是如何產生的？
每場比賽的勝率來自兩隊賽前的 Elo 差距（不含該場結果）；勝率較高的一方即為預測方，賽後再與實際結果比對。