AoV week 15/2026

Week 15/2026 recap (06.04.26 – 12.04.26): 3 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 2 of them correct, a 66.7% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result.

Hit rate66.7%
Correct2/3
Upsets1
Dates06.04.26 – 12.04.26

Biggest upsets of week 15/2026

Week 15/2026 breakdown

All week 15/2026 predictions

Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.

Week 15/2026 FAQ

How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 15/2026?

Week 15/2026 (06.04.26 – 12.04.26) had 3 matches predicted with Elo, 2 of them correct (66.7%).

What was the biggest upset of week 15/2026?

BanMei Gaming was predicted to win with 68.5% but lost 1–3 to ANK Gaming at Garena Challenger Series Spring 2026.

How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?

This week the model was right in 2 of 3 picks made at 65% or higher (67%).

How are the predictions made?

For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.

Other weeks