AoV week 38/2026
Week 38/2026 recap (14.09.26 – 20.09.26): 20 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 12 of them correct, a 60% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 37/2026 (66.7%), accuracy is down 6.7 percentage points.
Biggest upsets of week 38/2026
- King of Gamers Club was predicted to win with 74.5% but lost 1–3 to FULL SENSE at RoV Pro League Winter 2026.
- Team Flash was predicted to win with 69.3% but lost 0–3 to FPT Polytechnic at ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026.
- FULL SENSE was predicted to win with 67.7% but lost 0–3 to Buriram United Esports at RoV Pro League Winter 2026.
Week 38/2026 breakdown
By confidence
Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.
By tournament
All week 38/2026 predictions
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026Team FlashvsFPT Polytechnic3 – 069.3%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Deep Cross GamingvsONE Team2 – 368.4%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026FULL SENSEvsBuriram United Esports0 – 367.7%Wrong
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026GAM EsportsvsRex Regum Qeon VN1 – 358%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026King of Gamers ClubvsHydra Esports3 – 086.4%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Hong Kong AttitudevsANK Gaming2 – 358.8%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026eArenavsGodji Check3 – 078.4%Correct
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026Saigon PhantomvsBOX Gaming0 – 365.7%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026TenacityvsBacon Time3 – 159.5%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026WANIN Flash WolvesvsLIT Team0 – 374.2%Correct
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026One Star EsportsvsBOOM Esports VN3 – 169.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026King of Gamers ClubvsFULL SENSE1 – 374.5%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Hong Kong AttitudevsONE Team3 – 062.8%Wrong
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026FPT PolytechnicvsTeam Secret3 – 060.5%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Buriram United EsportsvsSOLYX ESPORTS3 – 254.5%Correct
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026Team FlashvsBOOM Esports VN3 – 056.1%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026WANIN Flash WolvesvsDeep Cross Gaming3 – 157.9%Wrong
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026Rex Regum Qeon VNvsBOX Gaming1 – 361.3%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026BanMei GamingvsLIT Team3 – 066%Correct
- ĐTDV Arena of Glory Winter 2026One Star EsportsvsGAM Esports3 – 152%Wrong
Week 38/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 38/2026?
Week 38/2026 (14.09.26 – 20.09.26) had 20 matches predicted with Elo, 12 of them correct (60%). Compared with week 37/2026 (66.7%), accuracy is down 6.7 percentage points.
What was the biggest upset of week 38/2026?
King of Gamers Club was predicted to win with 74.5% but lost 1–3 to FULL SENSE at RoV Pro League Winter 2026.
How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?
This week the model was right in 7 of 10 picks made at 65% or higher (70%).
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.