AoV week 37/2026

Week 37/2026 recap (07.09.26 – 13.09.26): 18 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 12 of them correct, a 66.7% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 36/2026 (68.8%), accuracy is down 2.1 percentage points.

Hit rate66.7%
Correct12/18
Upsets4
Dates07.09.26 – 13.09.26

Biggest upsets of week 37/2026

Week 37/2026 breakdown

By confidence

  • Close (under 55%)0/1 0%
  • Lean (55–65%)4/5 80%
  • Clear (65% and up)8/12 67%

Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.

All week 37/2026 predictions

Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.

Week 37/2026 FAQ

How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 37/2026?

Week 37/2026 (07.09.26 – 13.09.26) had 18 matches predicted with Elo, 12 of them correct (66.7%). Compared with week 36/2026 (68.8%), accuracy is down 2.1 percentage points.

What was the biggest upset of week 37/2026?

Deep Cross Gaming was predicted to win with 86% but lost 0–3 to Hong Kong Attitude at Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026.

How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?

This week the model was right in 8 of 12 picks made at 65% or higher (67%).

How are the predictions made?

For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.

Other weeks