AoV week 36/2026
Week 36/2026 recap (31.08.26 – 06.09.26): 16 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 11 of them correct, a 68.8% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 35/2026 (71.4%), accuracy is down 2.6 percentage points.
Biggest upsets of week 36/2026
- WANIN Flash Wolves was predicted to win with 71.7% but lost 2–3 to Hong Kong Attitude at Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026.
- WANIN Flash Wolves was predicted to win with 70.5% but lost 1–3 to ONE Team at Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026.
- Buriram United Esports was predicted to win with 68% but lost 0–3 to Tenacity at RoV Pro League Winter 2026.
Week 36/2026 breakdown
By confidence
Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.
By tournament
All week 36/2026 predictions
Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026SOLYX ESPORTSvsHydra Esports2 – 352.7%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Deep Cross GamingvsBanMei Gaming3 – 079.4%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026FULL SENSEvseArena0 – 378.4%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026WANIN Flash WolvesvsHong Kong Attitude2 – 371.7%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Buriram United EsportsvsBacon Time3 – 069.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026eArenavsHydra Esports2 – 373.3%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026WANIN Flash WolvesvsONE Team1 – 370.5%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Godji CheckvsSOLYX ESPORTS2 – 352.6%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026ANK GamingvsBanMei Gaming1 – 367.6%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026TenacityvsKing of Gamers Club3 – 262.2%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026FULL SENSEvsGodji Check3 – 188.6%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026ANK GamingvsLIT Team3 – 079.1%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Buriram United EsportsvsTenacity0 – 368%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Deep Cross GamingvsONE Team3 – 182.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Bacon TimevsHydra Esports0 – 369.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026King of Gamers ClubvsSOLYX ESPORTS3 – 063.9%Correct
Week 36/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 36/2026?
Week 36/2026 (31.08.26 – 06.09.26) had 16 matches predicted with Elo, 11 of them correct (68.8%). Compared with week 35/2026 (71.4%), accuracy is down 2.6 percentage points.
What was the biggest upset of week 36/2026?
WANIN Flash Wolves was predicted to win with 71.7% but lost 2–3 to Hong Kong Attitude at Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026.
How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?
This week the model was right in 8 of 12 picks made at 65% or higher (67%).
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.
