AoV week 36/2026

Week 36/2026 recap (31.08.26 – 06.09.26): 16 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 11 of them correct, a 68.8% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 35/2026 (71.4%), accuracy is down 2.6 percentage points.

Hit rate68.8%
Correct11/16
Upsets4
Dates31.08.26 – 06.09.26

Biggest upsets of week 36/2026

Week 36/2026 breakdown

By confidence

  • Close (under 55%)2/2 100%
  • Lean (55–65%)1/2 50%
  • Clear (65% and up)8/12 67%

Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.

All week 36/2026 predictions

Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.

Week 36/2026 FAQ

How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 36/2026?

Week 36/2026 (31.08.26 – 06.09.26) had 16 matches predicted with Elo, 11 of them correct (68.8%). Compared with week 35/2026 (71.4%), accuracy is down 2.6 percentage points.

What was the biggest upset of week 36/2026?

WANIN Flash Wolves was predicted to win with 71.7% but lost 2–3 to Hong Kong Attitude at Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026.

How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?

This week the model was right in 8 of 12 picks made at 65% or higher (67%).

How are the predictions made?

For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.

Other weeks