AoV week 40/2026
Week 40/2026 recap (28.09.26 – 04.10.26): 3 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 1 of them correct, a 33.3% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 39/2026 (46.2%), accuracy is down 12.9 percentage points.
Hit rate33.3%
Correct1/3
Upsets0
Dates28.09.26 – 04.10.26
Week 40/2026 breakdown
By tournament
All week 40/2026 predictions
Week 40/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 40/2026?
Week 40/2026 (28.09.26 – 04.10.26) had 3 matches predicted with Elo, 1 of them correct (33.3%). Compared with week 39/2026 (46.2%), accuracy is down 12.9 percentage points.
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.