AoV week 26/2026

Week 26/2026 recap (22.06.26 – 28.06.26): 7 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 4 of them correct, a 57.1% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 25/2026 (100%), accuracy is down 42.9 percentage points.

Hit rate57.1%
Correct4/7
Upsets1
Dates22.06.26 – 28.06.26

Biggest upsets of week 26/2026

Week 26/2026 breakdown

By confidence

  • Close (under 55%)0/2 0%
  • Lean (55–65%)3/3 100%
  • Clear (65% and up)1/2 50%

Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.

All week 26/2026 predictions

Some predictions this week were reconstructed by replaying the full match history in order, using the Elo rating each team held before that match.

Week 26/2026 FAQ

How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 26/2026?

Week 26/2026 (22.06.26 – 28.06.26) had 7 matches predicted with Elo, 4 of them correct (57.1%). Compared with week 25/2026 (100%), accuracy is down 42.9 percentage points.

What was the biggest upset of week 26/2026?

WANIN Flash Wolves was predicted to win with 74.7% but lost 2–3 to FPT Polytechnic at Arena of Valor Premier League 2026.

How are the predictions made?

For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.

Other weeks