AoV week 39/2026
Week 39/2026 recap (21.09.26 – 27.09.26): 13 AoV matches had an Elo-based prediction, 6 of them correct, a 46.2% hit rate. Each row below shows the predicted winner, its win probability at the time and the actual result. Compared with week 38/2026 (60%), accuracy is down 13.8 percentage points.
Week 39/2026 breakdown
By confidence
Confidence is the win probability the model gave its pick before the match. A good model should be right more often in the high-confidence group.
By tournament
All week 39/2026 predictions
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Bacon TimevsBuriram United Esports2 – 350%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026ONE TeamvsHong Kong Attitude3 – 263.6%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026FULL SENSEvsTenacity3 – 261.9%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Deep Cross GamingvsLIT Team1 – 352.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Hydra EsportsvsGodji Check2 – 350%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Hong Kong AttitudevsLIT Team0 – 353.5%Correct
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026Deep Cross GamingvsBanMei Gaming1 – 365.4%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026Buriram United EsportsvsKing of Gamers Club1 – 354%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026ANK GamingvsWANIN Flash Wolves2 – 350%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026SOLYX ESPORTSvsTenacity2 – 363.3%Wrong
- Garena Challenger Series Summer 2026ONE TeamvsBanMei Gaming2 – 364.2%Wrong
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026eArenavsHydra Esports3 – 069.3%Correct
- RoV Pro League Winter 2026King of Gamers ClubvsGodji Check0 – 366.4%Correct
Week 39/2026 FAQ
How accurate were the AoV predictions in week 39/2026?
Week 39/2026 (21.09.26 – 27.09.26) had 13 matches predicted with Elo, 6 of them correct (46.2%). Compared with week 38/2026 (60%), accuracy is down 13.8 percentage points.
How accurate is the model when it is at least 65% confident?
This week the model was right in 3 of 3 picks made at 65% or higher (100%).
How are the predictions made?
For each match the win probability comes from the two teams' Elo difference before the match (without that match's result); the team with the higher probability is the pick, which is then checked against the real result.